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Red137
567544.9
687729.3
584340.3
Blue71
362054.8
611420.3
725620.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11095608010012014013771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
77Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
14Foul points0
137Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.93.4
38.041.4
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
blue by 9.9
54.81.5
47.345.8
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
Second
40.33.4
31.935.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 19.5
7256
#13
20.80.9
14.013.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
6877
#22
29.33.4
22.926.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
red by 9.0
6114
#14
20.31.5
23.021.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed