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Red85
423722.9
584340.3
592730.1
Blue73
724812.9
205444.5
432513.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058640601201401608573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+18Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
75Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
85Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.8
35.234.4
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
blue by 4.2
44.50.5
42.341.8
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
30.10.8
26.125.3
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
red by 16.8
4325
#39
13.30.5
14.614.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Third
4237
#19
22.90.8
25.624.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 10.0
7248
#38
12.90.5
14.814.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed