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Red49
518216.7
421615.8
365832.8
Blue107
654849.0
657039.4
725620.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721052040608012014016049107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+50
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
37Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
49Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#16
32.82.0
31.029.0
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
blue by 16.2
6548
#10
49.01.8
38.240.1
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
Second
5182
#30
16.71.9
20.018.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 22.7
39.41.2
36.737.8
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Third
4216
#36
15.81.9
15.914.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 5.0
7256
#13
20.81.2
14.515.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned