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Red115
721019.3
687729.3
205444.5
Blue36
555923.4
658820.1
724812.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9058020408010012014016011536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +53
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
66Total teleop13
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
14Foul points2
115Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.4
38.941.3
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 21.1
5559
#23
23.42.2
16.614.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Second
6877
#22
29.32.4
21.023.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
red by 9.2
6588
#15
20.12.2
18.616.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
7210
#37
19.32.4
16.218.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
red by 6.4
7248
#38
12.92.2
18.616.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed