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Red79
421615.8
611420.3
262038.5
Blue20
7425.5
780913.1
495615.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83742040601001207920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
34Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#0
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points0
79Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.6
27.526.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
red by 13.0
74
#20
25.55.1
28.823.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Second
6114
#14
20.30.6
25.324.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
red by 4.7
4956
#31
15.65.1
19.414.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
4216
#36
15.80.6
19.518.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 2.7
7809
#32
13.15.1
17.912.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed