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Red51
720310.7
584340.3
1066623.3
Blue36
963816.4
1047326.5
522714.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65582040801001205136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
38Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
51Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.6
30.528.9
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 13.7
26.52.8
20.017.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Second
23.31.6
13.812.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
red by 6.8
9638
#35
16.42.8
13.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Third
7203
#34
10.71.6
12.110.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 4.0
5227
#29
14.62.8
20.017.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed