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Red38
505621.4
781118.6
518216.7
Blue34
725620.8
432513.3
652820.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766420401001203834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
15Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
12Foul points0
38Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5056
#18
21.44.2
26.622.3
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 0.6
7256
#13
20.81.6
15.814.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Second
7811
#27
18.62.5
17.515.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 2.0
6528
#11
20.52.6
21.518.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
5182
#30
16.74.2
20.115.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 3.4
4325
#39
13.32.6
20.017.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed