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Red83
365832.8
261135.6
724812.9
Blue114
295932.3
362054.8
975822.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610520406012014016083114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
65Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
83Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#17
35.60.2
30.730.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
blue by 19.2
54.80.8
36.737.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
Second
3658
#16
32.80.2
22.422.6
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
red by 0.5
2959
#26
32.30.8
33.934.7
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
Third
7248
#38
12.90.2
16.416.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 9.4
9758
#25
22.30.8
19.019.8
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned