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Red123
276761.0
592730.1
567544.9
Blue63
780913.1
555923.4
687729.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12649010015020012363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave9
8Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
9L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points0
123Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.3
44.644.9
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 31.7
6877
#22
29.30.4
23.523.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Second
44.90.3
35.135.3
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 21.5
5559
#23
23.40.4
14.414.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Third
30.10.3
24.724.9
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
red by 17.1
7809
#32
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed