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Red39
781412.8
876713.5
7425.5
Blue114
205444.5
423722.9
657039.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55132010015020039114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+75
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +66
4Coral scored#15
15Coral points55
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
19Total teleop85
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
39Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#20
25.52.7
23.721.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
blue by 19.0
44.50.4
41.340.9
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
8767
#40
13.52.7
19.516.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 25.9
39.40.3
35.935.6
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Third
7814
#24
12.82.7
11.99.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 10.1
4237
#19
22.90.4
32.131.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned