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Red87
658820.1
654849.0
262038.5
Blue43
561021.7
721019.3
611420.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82742040601001201408743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
87Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
49.00.5
27.628.2
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
red by 27.2
5610
#28
21.73.2
22.219.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
Second
38.50.5
26.927.5
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
red by 18.2
6114
#14
20.33.2
24.721.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Third
6588
#15
20.10.5
16.416.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
red by 0.7
7210
#37
19.33.2
18.715.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed