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Red118
657039.4
522714.6
262038.5
Blue182
362054.8
1066623.3
654849.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031276080120140160180118182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+66
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +49
20Coral scored#25
72Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
86Total teleop135
Reef
9L4#14
9L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#42
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
118Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.9
37.838.7
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
blue by 15.4
54.84.8
47.051.9
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
Second
38.51.2
36.037.2
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
blue by 10.4
6548
#10
49.04.8
43.248.0
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
Third
5227
#29
14.61.2
13.114.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
blue by 8.6
23.34.8
17.021.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned