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Red118
205444.5
107640.4
518216.7
Blue100
261135.6
781118.6
658820.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117844060100140160180118100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
+22Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points29
13Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
103Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
118Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.5
40.641.1
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 8.9
2611
#17
35.61.3
38.640.0
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Second
40.40.5
40.841.3
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
red by 20.3
6588
#15
20.11.4
21.322.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
5182
#30
16.70.5
19.920.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 1.8
7811
#27
18.61.0
13.814.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed