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Qual 672025 FIM District St. Joseph Event presented by Whirlpool
Red132
611420.3
1047326.5
592730.1
Blue90
975822.3
720310.7
365832.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88712040608010012014013290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
92Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
132Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#9
30.13.3
27.2→30.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
blue by 2.7
3658
#16
32.81.0
30.7→31.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
10473
#12
26.53.1
23.7→26.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
red by 4.2
9758
#25
22.31.0
17.7→18.7
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Third
6114
#14
20.32.8
20.4→23.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
red by 9.7
7203
#34
10.71.0
11.7→12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed