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Red110
505621.4
276761.0
561021.7
Blue61
963816.4
421615.8
423722.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129655010015020011061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+51Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
76Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
110Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.7
59.158.4
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 38.0
4237
#19
22.91.2
24.523.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Second
5610
#28
21.70.7
21.721.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
red by 5.3
9638
#35
16.41.3
16.815.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Third
5056
#18
21.40.7
21.821.1
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 5.6
4216
#36
15.81.2
16.915.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed