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Red135
522714.6
362054.8
567544.9
Blue86
657039.4
780913.1
876713.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137745010015020013586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
84Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points0
135Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.4
51.952.2
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 15.4
39.40.0
38.738.7
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Second
44.90.4
44.444.8
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 31.3
8767
#40
13.50.0
14.414.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Third
5227
#29
14.60.4
14.314.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
red by 1.6
7809
#32
13.10.0
12.312.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned