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Red97
495615.6
261135.6
584340.3
Blue24
658820.1
518216.7
781412.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113551001509724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+67Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points0
97Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.4
39.839.4
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 20.2
6588
#15
20.13.0
22.819.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Second
2611
#17
35.60.4
40.039.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
red by 18.9
5182
#30
16.72.8
20.317.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
4956
#31
15.60.4
16.115.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 2.8
7814
#24
12.82.8
14.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed