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Red83
1047326.5
107640.4
724812.9
Blue96
262038.5
592730.1
725620.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102107501502008396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
65Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
83Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.6
41.340.7
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
red by 1.9
38.50.3
37.237.5
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
Second
26.50.6
26.826.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
blue by 3.6
30.10.3
30.530.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Third
7248
#38
12.90.6
13.312.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 7.9
7256
#13
20.80.2
18.819.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned