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Red93
654849.0
963816.4
781412.8
Blue40
720310.7
611420.3
261135.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9391501509340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points15
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
71Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
93Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
49.00.9
48.049.0
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
red by 13.3
2611
#17
35.63.5
39.636.1
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Second
9638
#35
16.40.9
15.516.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 3.9
6114
#14
20.33.5
23.219.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Third
7814
#24
12.80.9
11.912.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
red by 2.1
7203
#34
10.73.8
12.68.8
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned