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Red144
567544.9
262038.5
107640.4
Blue65
592730.1
518216.7
876713.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1546505010020014465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+57Teleop
+81Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
21Coral scored#9
76Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
90Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#2
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#15
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points2
144Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.5
44.845.3
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 14.7
30.11.0
30.829.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Second
40.40.5
40.741.2
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
red by 23.7
5182
#30
16.70.9
17.616.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
38.50.5
37.538.0
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
red by 25.0
8767
#40
13.50.9
14.413.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed