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Red105
720310.7
555923.4
205444.5
Blue92
365832.8
780913.1
561021.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908020406010012014010592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
83Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points12
105Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.8
43.545.3
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 11.7
3658
#16
32.80.8
31.732.5
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
5559
#23
23.41.8
22.023.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 1.7
5610
#28
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
Third
7203
#34
10.71.8
8.810.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 2.4
7809
#32
13.10.7
12.313.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed