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Red92
781118.6
725620.8
295932.3
Blue103
584340.3
975822.3
7425.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69972040608012014016092103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
76Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
92Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#26
32.32.0
29.831.8
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
blue by 8.0
40.31.4
39.440.8
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
7256
#13
20.81.8
19.120.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 4.7
74
#20
25.51.5
23.424.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Third
7811
#27
18.61.8
16.818.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 3.8
9758
#25
22.31.5
21.322.9
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned