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Red101
432513.3
654849.0
423722.9
Blue69
658820.1
1066623.3
522714.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107712040608012014016010169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
80Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
101Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
49.00.4
49.049.4
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
red by 25.7
23.30.0
22.722.7
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Second
4237
#19
22.90.4
23.423.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 2.8
6588
#15
20.10.0
19.719.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
4325
#39
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 1.3
5227
#29
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed