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Red130
276761.0
721019.3
362054.8
Blue105
7425.5
1047326.5
687729.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608250100150200130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+27Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
78Total teleop79
Reef
11L4#8
5L3#6
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
130Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.3
60.660.3
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 31.7
6877
#22
29.30.4
28.829.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Second
54.80.3
54.454.1
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 28.2
26.50.4
26.026.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Third
7210
#37
19.30.3
19.318.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 6.2
74
#20
25.50.5
24.925.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6