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Red142
584340.3
975822.3
261135.6
Blue148
657039.4
262038.5
1066623.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121119050100150200250142148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
111Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
142Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.2
40.841.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 0.9
39.40.4
38.839.2
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Second
2611
#17
35.60.2
36.136.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
blue by 2.9
38.50.4
38.038.4
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
Third
9758
#25
22.30.2
22.923.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
blue by 0.9
23.30.4
22.723.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2