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Red169
567544.9
555923.4
654849.0
Blue103
652820.5
611420.3
295932.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1457950100200169103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
32Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +44
24Coral scored#18
85Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
121Total teleop77
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#7
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
169Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
49.01.0
49.450.4
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
red by 16.7
2959
#26
32.30.6
31.832.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
Second
44.91.0
45.346.3
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 24.3
6528
#11
20.50.6
20.020.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
5559
#23
23.41.0
23.824.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 3.1
6114
#14
20.30.6
19.820.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2