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Red151
205444.5
107640.4
423722.9
Blue86
505621.4
365832.8
592730.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299540608012014016018015186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+65Teleop
+67Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
36Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +42
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
109Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#5
8L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points2
151Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.7
45.346.1
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 11.7
3658
#16
32.80.2
32.532.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
40.40.7
41.241.9
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
red by 10.3
30.10.2
29.829.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Third
4237
#19
22.90.7
23.724.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 1.5
5056
#18
21.40.2
21.221.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3