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Red142
276761.0
658820.1
362054.8
Blue136
555923.4
567544.9
654849.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153134100120140160180200142136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points54
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
76Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
142Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.2
60.760.8
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 12.0
6548
#10
49.00.4
50.050.3
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
Second
54.80.2
54.554.6
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 9.9
44.90.4
45.946.2
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
Third
6588
#15
20.10.2
19.719.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
blue by 3.3
5559
#23
23.40.4
24.424.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3