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Red135
205444.5
107640.4
423722.9
Blue83
584340.3
975822.3
261135.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126115608010014016018013583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
12Processor points12
24Net points4
36Algae points16
83Total teleop49
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points2
135Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.5
45.245.7
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 4.2
40.30.4
40.740.3
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
40.40.5
41.141.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
red by 4.8
2611
#17
35.60.4
36.035.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Third
4237
#19
22.90.5
23.624.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 0.6
9758
#25
22.30.5
22.822.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1