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Red141
657039.4
262038.5
1066623.3
Blue116
505621.4
365832.8
592730.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125996080140160180141116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points57
4Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
24Processor points24
12Net points16
36Algae points40
97Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
141Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.5
39.439.9
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
red by 6.6
3658
#16
32.80.4
32.432.8
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
38.50.5
38.639.1
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
red by 8.4
30.10.4
29.730.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Third
23.30.5
23.323.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
red by 1.8
5056
#18
21.40.4
21.021.4
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3