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Red60
555923.4
567544.9
654849.0
Blue117
205444.5
107640.4
423722.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139123608010016018020060117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +58
4Coral scored#17
16Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
30Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
60Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
49.01.4
50.349.0
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
red by 4.4
44.50.2
45.245.3
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
44.91.4
46.244.9
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 4.5
40.40.2
41.041.2
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Third
5559
#23
23.41.4
24.723.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 0.5
4237
#19
22.90.2
23.623.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6