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Red152
276761.0
658820.1
362054.8
Blue83
205444.5
107640.4
423722.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155120608010014018020022015283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+43Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave0
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
73Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points0
152Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.2
60.861.1
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 16.4
44.50.6
45.344.7
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
54.80.2
54.654.9
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 14.4
40.40.6
41.240.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Third
6588
#15
20.10.3
19.920.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
blue by 2.8
4237
#19
22.90.6
23.723.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6