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Red126
276761.0
658820.1
362054.8
Blue128
205444.5
107640.4
423722.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511750100200126128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points20
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#17
31Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
59Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
126Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
61.160.7
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 16.4
44.50.4
44.745.2
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
54.80.4
54.954.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 14.4
40.40.4
40.641.0
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Third
6588
#15
20.10.4
20.219.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
blue by 2.8
4237
#19
22.90.4
23.123.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6