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Red78
652820.5
611420.3
295932.3
Blue91
505621.4
365832.8
592730.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849940601201407891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
62Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
78Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#26
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
blue by 0.5
3658
#16
32.80.1
32.332.4
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
6528
#11
20.50.0
20.620.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 9.6
30.10.1
29.629.7
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Third
6114
#14
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 1.1
5056
#18
21.40.1
21.021.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3