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Red160
276761.0
721019.3
362054.8
Blue121
657039.4
262038.5
1066623.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16211880100140180200220160121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
47Coral points14
47Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
83Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#5
8L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +39
4Foul points6
160Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
60.360.7
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 21.6
39.40.2
39.239.4
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Second
54.80.4
54.154.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 16.3
38.50.2
38.438.6
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
Third
7210
#37
19.30.4
18.919.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 3.9
23.30.2
23.123.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2