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Red86
353447.8
555526.9
521419.0
Blue62
562323.1
20135.7
811521.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759502040601201401608662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#5
50Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
64Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
86Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.4
25.126.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
red by 12.1
201
#31
35.71.0
33.632.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Second
5555
#24
26.91.4
22.624.1
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
red by 3.8
5623
#21
23.11.0
21.020.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
Third
5214
#35
19.02.4
16.619.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
blue by 2.3
8115
#37
21.31.6
21.820.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned