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Qual 102025 FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation
Red113
924555.5
499822.8
496132.8
Blue80
811521.3
149843.8
506518.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8771020406010012014016011380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +53
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
93Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points6
113Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#4
55.52.5
38.3→40.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 11.7
1498
#10
43.80.4
29.3→29.7
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
Second
4961
#18
32.82.5
17.2→19.7
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 11.4
8115
#37
21.30.7
20.2→20.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
Third
4998
#39
22.82.5
20.4→22.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
red by 4.5
5065
#34
18.40.7
18.3→19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned