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Red5
1069022.0
521419.0
562323.1
Blue31
26049.0
547811.6
1067219.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74490100150531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop4
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
5Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#21
23.13.8
20.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
red by 3.9
19.32.8
15.913.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Second
22.06.3
22.716.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
red by 10.4
5478
#29
11.61.7
9.88.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
5214
#35
19.06.3
19.012.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
red by 10.0
2604
#40
9.02.8
18.715.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned