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Red105
46949.2
923728.3
1061223.3
Blue86
543642.8
20135.7
555526.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931032040608012014016018010586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
57Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
105Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#15
49.21.3
42.143.3
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 6.4
5436
#11
42.80.3
33.433.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Second
28.31.3
18.119.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
blue by 7.4
201
#31
35.70.3
32.632.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Third
23.31.3
19.821.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
blue by 3.6
5555
#24
26.90.3
24.123.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned