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Red114
974712.3
977635.9
214548.5
Blue31
523520.8
975111.7
836415.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10344015020011431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#2
32Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
46Total teleop12
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
24Foul points6
114Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.5
40.941.3
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
red by 27.7
5235
#25
20.81.5
12.611.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Second
35.90.5
28.128.6
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 20.0
8364
#36
15.92.5
19.316.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
9747
#23
12.30.8
13.814.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
red by 0.6
9751
#38
11.71.7
9.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned