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Red76
506518.4
1065221.8
496132.8
Blue64
57339.4
505333.0
330216.9
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508501001507664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
68Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
76Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#18
32.81.8
15.417.2
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
blue by 6.7
573
#13
39.40.6
31.330.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
21.83.3
24.220.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 11.2
5053
#30
33.01.1
20.719.6
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
Third
5065
#34
18.43.1
15.218.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 1.5
3302
#41
16.91.1
19.618.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed