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Red109
523520.8
436240.8
81836.5
Blue125
57339.4
955830.7
552721.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8775050100150200109125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
83Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
109Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
40.80.7
28.429.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
red by 1.4
573
#13
39.42.3
30.632.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
818
#12
36.51.2
33.835.0
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
red by 5.8
9558
#20
30.73.8
22.125.9
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
Third
5235
#25
20.80.7
11.111.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
blue by 0.2
5527
#19
21.12.3
12.414.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned