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Red103
872841.4
353447.8
505333.0
Blue168
771620.8
214548.5
3374.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7713550100150200103168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points68
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
18Processor points18
12Net points28
30Algae points46
81Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
103Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.0
26.627.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.2
End7.7
blue by 26.8
33
#1
74.62.6
60.262.7
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
Second
41.41.0
30.831.8
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
blue by 7.1
48.52.6
41.343.9
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Third
5053
#30
33.01.6
19.621.3
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
red by 12.2
7716
#28
20.84.3
16.620.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned