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Red66
26049.0
22651.1
977635.9
Blue43
528222.6
330216.9
1067219.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014201502006643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
53Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points2
66Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
51.11.4
41.940.5
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
red by 28.5
5282
#16
22.60.3
13.212.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
35.91.4
28.627.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 16.6
19.30.4
13.112.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
2604
#40
9.02.3
15.913.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End-0.2
blue by 7.8
3302
#41
16.90.4
18.518.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned