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Red8
506518.4
499822.8
1069022.0
Blue55
1061223.3
974712.3
20135.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617602040100120140855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
0Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
2Coral scored#5
6Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points4
8Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#39
22.83.4
22.919.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End2.3
blue by 12.9
201
#31
35.71.1
32.331.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Second
22.05.6
16.410.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
blue by 1.3
23.31.1
21.120.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
5065
#34
18.45.6
19.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 6.1
9747
#23
12.31.8
13.511.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned