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Red59
555526.9
836415.9
562323.1
Blue115
81836.5
496132.8
149843.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62103020408012014016059115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
43Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
59Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#24
26.90.1
23.823.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
blue by 16.9
1498
#10
43.81.2
29.731.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
Second
5623
#21
23.10.1
16.316.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
blue by 13.4
818
#12
36.52.1
35.037.1
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
Third
8364
#36
15.90.2
16.817.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 16.9
4961
#18
32.81.2
19.721.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned