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Qual 172025 FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation
Red130
436240.8
955830.7
771620.8
Blue104
46949.2
438419.1
521419.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8876050100150130104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#17
70Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
98Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
130Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
40.81.3
29.2→30.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
blue by 8.4
469
#15
49.20.7
43.3→44.0
Auto13.3
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
9558
#20
30.72.2
25.9→28.1
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
red by 11.6
4384
#26
19.10.7
14.0→14.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
Third
7716
#28
20.82.2
20.9→23.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
red by 1.8
5214
#35
19.01.1
12.7→13.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed