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Red100
543642.8
22651.1
1065221.8
Blue37
505333.0
523520.8
547811.6
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1154105010015020010037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
61Total teleop14
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
100Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
51.10.1
40.540.4
Auto13.6
Teleop30.4
End7.2
red by 18.1
5053
#30
33.00.5
21.320.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
Second
5436
#11
42.80.1
33.133.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 22.0
5235
#25
20.80.3
11.811.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
21.80.1
21.421.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 10.2
5478
#29
11.60.3
8.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned