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Red104
977635.9
872841.4
555526.9
Blue90
57339.4
20135.7
506518.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9186020406010012014016010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
81Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
104Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.41.4
31.833.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 2.0
573
#13
39.40.8
32.933.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
35.91.4
27.228.6
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
red by 0.2
201
#31
35.70.8
31.332.1
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
Third
5555
#24
26.91.4
23.925.3
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
red by 8.5
5065
#34
18.41.4
13.414.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed