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Red93
149843.8
562323.1
1067219.3
Blue90
1065221.8
436240.8
974712.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6673204060801009390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
66Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
93Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#10
43.81.4
31.032.4
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
red by 2.9
4362
#14
40.80.9
30.531.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
Second
5623
#21
23.11.4
16.417.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
red by 1.3
21.81.5
21.322.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
19.32.4
12.715.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 7.0
9747
#23
12.31.5
11.713.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned